Will a country implement Universal Basic Income as a permanent policy by 2030?
47
1kṀ4323
2031
52%
chance
6

Clarifications:

A country >> any country with over 20m citizens

Universal Basic Income >> income distributed to every citizen of the country

Permanent >> it's not planned as a temporary experiment

  • Update 2025-11-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Finland does not count for this market (despite being a country, it has less than 20m citizens)

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sold Ṁ79 YES

this was poorly constructed and should be a YES or NA imo

countries arent defined by population

title should probably have been 'will a country over 20M people implement UBI'

@strutheo adding a population count makes sense to avoid random experiments like the islands that you just posted. This is meant to track a real paradigm change. Adding small countries and city states doesn't contribute to the goal of this market. 20m people as a limit is definitely suboptimal, but a limit has to be set somewhere

Interesting. By these criteria Finland isn't a country.

@JussiVilleHeiskanen Finland is definitely a country. It just doesn't count for this market.

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