Will any OECD country effectively introduce a form of UBI before 2033?

Question

Definition of UBI from Wikipedia:

Universal basic income (UBI) is a social welfare proposal in which all citizens of a given population regularly receive a guaranteed income in the form of an unconditional transfer payment (i.e., without a means test or need to work). It would be received independently of any other income.

List of OECD countries:
https://www.oecd.org/about/members-and-partners

To be resolved to YES it has to be a universal (all citizen) and not a standard unemployement subsidy branded as UBI.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 69% chance (49 traders, as of Feb 25, 2026).