Including an "Other" option means that I won't add any options to this market, but if it becomes highly traded enough then I'll make another market.
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"National+ACT" is highly unlikely at this point, because they will almost certainly need NZF in the waka too. After the Port Waikato election and the specials Act+Nats will have 61/122 which is not a majority.
@JulianLees Suspect we're really going to need until the parties have finished negotiating. After the specials are in they may want more additional time to negotiate. They may even want to wait until after the port waikato electorate vote on November 29.
@JulianLees yes and no--it's been the norm to have weeks of post-election negotiations since MMP began in 1996. I'm not sure there's any election where there hasn't been drawn-out negotiations? It is unusual we don't even know which set of parties will be needed to form a majority, but on the other hand, this time we don't have to wait for weeks for NZF to decide whether to go with National or Labour, because they've already committed to opposing Labour.