
What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election?
4
10kṀ12kOct 16
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
49%
National coalition
40%
Labour coalition
6%
No government formed
5%
Resolves to the first government formation after the next New Zealand election (if it's postponed beyond 2026, resolves to the next election after that).
"Other" might include a grand coalition containing both National and Labour, or a government of small parties without either major party.
Labour/National need not be the largest party in their coalition for their respective options to resolve, and they may govern alone.
"No government formed" means that a new election happens without a non-caretaker government being formed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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