Will the National Party form a government following the next New Zealand general election?
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Close date updated to 2023-10-14 7:00 pm
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New Zealand First have polled 4.1% and 5% in July. If they get in to Parliament they will likely support a National govt. This will be a challenge for the Left coalition because they would have to find 51% of seats without the 7 or so NZF would have. Even without NZF, National's odds are looking good at around 60%, so I think taking into account the probability NZF gets in, their odds are now very good.
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