Will the National Party form a government following the next New Zealand general election?
60
1kṀ12kresolved Nov 25
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Close date updated to 2023-10-14 7:00 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ292 | |
| 2 | Ṁ136 | |
| 3 | Ṁ73 | |
| 4 | Ṁ71 | |
| 5 | Ṁ30 |
People are also trading
After the 2026 New Zealand general election, which parties will form a government?
Will New Zealand have a general election before the end of 2025
3% chance
Who will be Prime Minister of New Zealand at EOY 2025?
Largest party in the next New Zealand general election?
New party enters NZ parliament after 2026 general election?
5% chance
Which New Zealand political party leaders will be incumbent on the next Election Day?
Who will lead the NZ Labour Party at the next election?
Who will be the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand?
Will a new party be elected to NZ Parliament by 2030?
24% chance
Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?
73% chance
Sort by:
New Zealand First have polled 4.1% and 5% in July. If they get in to Parliament they will likely support a National govt. This will be a challenge for the Left coalition because they would have to find 51% of seats without the 7 or so NZF would have. Even without NZF, National's odds are looking good at around 60%, so I think taking into account the probability NZF gets in, their odds are now very good.
People are also trading
Related questions
After the 2026 New Zealand general election, which parties will form a government?
Will New Zealand have a general election before the end of 2025
3% chance
Who will be Prime Minister of New Zealand at EOY 2025?
Largest party in the next New Zealand general election?
New party enters NZ parliament after 2026 general election?
5% chance
Which New Zealand political party leaders will be incumbent on the next Election Day?
Who will lead the NZ Labour Party at the next election?
Who will be the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand?
Will a new party be elected to NZ Parliament by 2030?
24% chance
Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?
73% chance