
After the 2026 New Zealand general election, which parties will form a government?
14
1kṀ39482027
72%
National
67%
ACT
50%
NZ First
39%
Greens
38%
Labour
22%
Te Pāti Māori
8%
Opportunities (TOP)
2%
NewZeal
2%
Legalise Cannabis
2%
New Conservative
Parties with ministers inside cabinet are considered part of forming a government. Parties who do not have ministers inside cabinet are not considered part of the government for the resolution of this question. So, in 2020, a similar question would only resolve positively for Labour. In 2023, it would resolve positively for National, NZ First, and ACT.
I will add new parties on request from 1 January 2026 if they are officially registered, or as I judge to be worthwhile adding. Parties included so far are those that ran in both 2020 and 2023.
If no election is held in 2026, the question will resolve positively for the first election after 2026. If an election is held before 2026, this question will not resolve for that election.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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