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MANIFOLD
Who will I party vote for in the 2026 NZ General Election?
11
Ṁ400Ṁ280
Dec 31
7%
National
22%
Labour
31%
Greens
7%
ACT
7%
NZ First
7%
Te Pati Maori
11%
The Opportunity Party
9%
Other

I won’t bet on this market.

Election is on 7 Nov 2026. I haven’t fully made up my mind on who to vote for yet.

Ask questions, I’ll try answer.

I won’t answer questions like, what probability should ‘x’ be, or what option should be most likely.

Resolves to who I cast my party vote for in the 2026 nz general election

Market context
US Politics
Elections
NZ Politics
NZ election 26
New Zealand
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Will National recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?
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Have you voted before? If so for which parties?

I’ll only answer questions I feel comfortable answering

@Jack1 yeah the questions rapidly transitioned from reasonable to overly personal lmao

In which city do you live?

What's your sexual orientation?

@jim Straight

bought Ṁ5 YES

@Jack1 Do you find Chlöe Swarbrick attractive?

@jim I haven’t thought about that before. I don’t find her attractive or unattractive

sold Ṁ0 YES

@Jack1 hmm ok i feel like you're probably just finna vote Labour

What are your feelings about Jacinda Adern?

@jim She was Ok but I feel she didn’t do enough with her majority

what is your IQ?

do you have a job? are you studying? what sector are you in?

how old are you?

@jim early 20s

what is your ethnicity?

@jim Nz European

bought Ṁ10 YES

what political quadrant are you in?

@jim On the political compass test? Left Lib

People are also trading

Will National recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?
+5% 1d60% chance
Which party will finish third place in the 2026 NZ General Election?
Which parties will exceed their 2023 party vote in the 2026 NZ Election?
Who will win the 3150 mana prize for the 2026 NZ election challenge?
Which Party finishes 6th place in the 2026 NZ election?
Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election
What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election?
After the 2026 New Zealand general election, which parties will form a government?
Who will be the leader of New Zealand Labour going into the 2026 election? / Which party will the PM be from?
Following the 2026 New Zealand election, which parties will be represented in parliament?