Ukraine warcasting megamarket
302
24kṀ180k
2026
95%
Will Trump be in power 2026 Jan 1st?
82%
Will Putin be in power 2028 Jan 1st?
49%
Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2026 (lasts for at least 1 year)
26%
Will Zelensky be in power 2028 Jan 1st?
16%
Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2025 (lasts for at least 1 year)
11%
>5 regular NATO member state troops participate in active combat in Ukraine by EOY 2026
11%
Will a successful coup happen in Ukraine before the peace is established?
9%
Nuclear weapon launch aimed in such a way that it causes fewer than 10 civilian deaths (eg stratosphere, battlefield, over ocean) before 2030 by Russia
8%
Will a successful coup happen in Russia before the peace is established?
6%
Russian nuke which causes more than 10 civilian deaths, by 2030
Resolved
YES
Will Zelensky be in power 2025 Jan 1st?
Resolved
YES
Will Putin be in power 2025 Jan 1st?

Ukraine
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