Ukraine warcasting megamarket

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Will Putin be in power 2025 Jan 1st?

96%

Will Zelensky be in power 2025 Jan 1st?

95%

Will Trump be in power 2026 Jan 1st?

59%

Will Putin be in power 2028 Jan 1st?

46%

Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2026 (lasts for at least 1 year)

35%

Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2025 (lasts for at least 1 year)

28%

Will Zelensky be in power 2028 Jan 1st?

20%

Will a successful coup happen in Russia before the peace is established?

16%

Nuclear weapon launch aimed in such a way that it causes fewer than 10 civilian deaths (eg stratosphere, battlefield, over ocean) before 2030 by Russia

16%

Will a successful coup happen in Ukraine before the peace is established?

16%

>5 regular NATO member state troops participate in active combat in Ukraine by EOY 2026

14%

Russian nuke which causes more than 10 civilian deaths, by 2030

11%

Will Russia or Ukraine gain control over a new city of 250k population by EOY 2024

11%

>5 regular NATO member state troops participate in active combat in Ukraine by EOY 2024

Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2024 (lasts for at least 1 year)

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Nuclear weapon launch aimed in such a way that it causes fewer than 10 civilian deaths (eg stratosphere, battlefield, over ocean) before 2030 by Russia

bought Ṁ50 Nuclear weapon launc... YES

If aimed at a testing site, will likely cause less than 10 civilian deaths.

Will Russia or Ukraine gain control over a new city of 250k population by EOY 2024

bought Ṁ500 Will Russia or Ukrai... NO

This is EOY 2024 right?

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