Both US political parties will seem less extreme by 2025 | Manifold

Both US political parties will seem less extreme by 2025

21

29

Ṁ555

Ṁ1k

2025

28%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Get Ṁ600 play money

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bought Ṁ50 of NO

"By 2025" means "at the end of 2025" and not "at any point before the end of 2025", right?

sold Ṁ10 of YES

I think musk’s attempt to make Twitter a big-tent town square will reduce polarization somewhat. Deplatforming and fragmentation tend to increase it. YouTube creators get more extreme when they’re forced into exile on bitchute/odysee.

Manifold in the wild: A Tweet by Nathan 🔍

@Noahpinion @mattyglesias I made a bad but interesting market (I've been trying markets based on vibes) https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/both-us-political-parties-will-seem?referrer=NathanpmYoung

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