Will the Democratic and Republican parties still be the two main parties by 2032?
10
23
Ṁ322Ṁ300
2033
87%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve after the 2032 US elections for President, Senate, and House of Representatives.
Resolves NO if either of the two candidates who got the most and second-most popular votes in the presidential election does not belong to either the Democratic or Republican parties.
Resolves NO if the number of Senators who are not in either party outnumbers the number of Democratic Senators, or outnumbers the number of Republican Senators. The same applies to the House.
Otherwise, resolves YES.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will both the Democratic and Republican party in the USA keep operating under the same names until the end of 2030?
95% chance
Will Democrats control the US Senate any time after the 2024 elections and before the 2030 elections?
64% chance
Will the democratic party win the 2032 U.S. presidential election?
50% chance
Will Democrats or Republicans win a majority in the senate in 2026?
Will a Republican win the popular vote by 2037?
42% chance
Will Democrats control all 3 branches of government at once before 2030?
38% chance
Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?
7% chance
Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election?
50% chance
Will Democrats control both the House and Senate after the 2024 elections?
19% chance
Will the 2024 and 2028 US presidential elections be won by Democrats?
42% chance