In 2025, will any member of U.S. Congress change their party affiliation?
16
Ṁ1kṀ8.6kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if any of the 435 members of the United States House of Representatives or any of the 100 members the United States Senate changes their official party affiliation during 2025 in the time zone containing the most of their constituents.
This question closes at 00:01 on 1 January 2026 Hawaii-Aleutian Time (UTC-10). If YES criteria have not been met, then this market should resolve NO sometime later on 1 January 2026.
I will not bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ256 | |
| 2 | Ṁ198 | |
| 3 | Ṁ144 | |
| 4 | Ṁ114 | |
| 5 | Ṁ107 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a congressperson switch parties in 2026?
Will any member of the squad who lost their 2024 election get elected to the House of Representatives by 2026?
25% chance
Will the USA congress have a Green Party or Libertarian member first before EOY 2027?
Who will be a USA congressperson on Jan 10 2027? Add Answers!
Will another member of the U.S Congress be expelled before 2030?
69% chance
Will either major US political party split by 2029?
20% chance
Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?
54% chance
Will a candidate who is not from a current major political party make it to a U.S. presidential election by 2052?
35% chance
Will there be a major change to the US political system by the end of 2035?
72% chance
Will a Republican congressperson be identified as a white nationalist by 2030?
70% chance