1% of the US electorate will think a deepfaked video is true with a consequence of at least $1bn (my guess)
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This is lower than the lizardman constant. I'm not convinced it'll truly have large consequences, but unless you're going to demand a very detailed level of proof, it should be trivial to find a situation with a stock or something where at least 1% of polled respondents claim to believe an obvious fake was true.
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