Will Spacex's Starship complete one full loop of the earth before July 2022?
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Starship is having its first orbital flight. It's currently scheduled for March 22 though it has been delayed before. https://www.space.com/spacex-starship-orbital-test-flight-faa-delay-march
The plan is to launch it atop Super Heavy and have it complete a loop of the earth before splashing down.
There might be time for multiple launches before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" on the day an intact Starship completes a loop of the earth, even if it something goes wrong on reentry or splashdown. If not, it will resolve "No".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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https://www.cnbc.com/2022/04/29/faa-delays-environmental-decision-on-spacexs-starship-launches-to-may.html
Given this additional delay, and the 3/4 loop thing, seems like the price should be lower
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