Will Spacex's Starship complete one full loop of the earth before July 2022?
15
101Ṁ741resolved Aug 4
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Starship is having its first orbital flight. It's currently scheduled for March 22 though it has been delayed before. https://www.space.com/spacex-starship-orbital-test-flight-faa-delay-march
The plan is to launch it atop Super Heavy and have it complete a loop of the earth before splashing down.
There might be time for multiple launches before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" on the day an intact Starship completes a loop of the earth, even if it something goes wrong on reentry or splashdown. If not, it will resolve "No".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ41 | |
2 | Ṁ38 | |
3 | Ṁ15 | |
4 | Ṁ14 | |
5 | Ṁ11 |
Sort by:
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/04/29/faa-delays-environmental-decision-on-spacexs-starship-launches-to-may.html
Given this additional delay, and the 3/4 loop thing, seems like the price should be lower
Related questions
Related questions
When will Starship complete an orbit?
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 6 times before the end of 2025?
41% chance
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 7 times before the end of 2025?
40% chance
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 8 times before the end of 2025?
31% chance
Will Starship reach escape velocity before 2026?
13% chance
Will SpaceX launch a Starship to Mars by the end of 2026?
23% chance
Will SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
66% chance
Will Starship reach Mars by 2028?
28% chance
When will Starship reach orbit?
Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?
40% chance