Will xAI receive preferential treatment* by the Trump administration in 2025?
3
100Ṁ652026
40%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
*Preferential treatment worth at least $1 billion
It must be clearly preferential, not just a $1 billion government contract. But for example, an exclusive contract, important regulatory exemption, or excess subsidies
I will resolve this via a Manifold poll with the above specifications
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
xAI builds truth-seeking AI before 2027?
26% chance
What will XAI & X do in 2025?
If Trump wins, who will be the White House’s important AI policy officials in 2025?
Will AI get regulated after the US president election until the end of 2025?
60% chance
Will Trump broadly maintain the January 2025 AI diffusion export controls?
66% chance
Will xAI significantly rework their alignment plan by the start of 2026?
60% chance
Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?
28% chance
If Trump is elected, will the shutdown of the US AI Safety Institute be announced in 2025?
34% chance
Will xAI's acquisition of X be challenged ?
50% chance
If Trump wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?
30% chance