Multi year market: Will AI be as big a political issue as abortion?
51
2.2kαΉ€6789
2030
1%
In 2024, AI be as big a political issue as abortion
21%
In 2025, AI be as big a political issue as abortion
40%
In 2026, AI be as big a political issue as abortion
57%
In 2027, AI be as big a political issue as abortion
63%
In 2028, AI be as big a political issue as abortion

Will resolve at the end of each year according to Scott's original resolution:

I will resolve this based on some combination of how much it gets talked about in elections, how much money goes to interest groups on both topics, and how much of the "political conversation" seems to be about either.

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