Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will Jacob Jakob Ingebrigtsen break the 1500m world record by 2036
9
Ṁ110Ṁ868
2036
41%
chance

Sports
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
predictedYES

What if Jakob breaks the current world record set by El Guerrouj but gets second in the race? That is, what if someone else breaks the world record before he does, but before it's ratified?

Reads to me like that would not trigger a Yes resolution.

People are also trading

How low will the Marathon World Record go before the end of 2026?
Which world records will Jakob Ingebrigtsen hold at any point by the end of 2030?
Will at least one World Marathon Major be won under 2 hours every year until end of 2029?
71% chance
Will the record for the Sri Chinmoy 3100 mile race be broken by the end of 2029?
-7% 1d43% chance
Cooper Lutkenhaus hold 800m world record before 2030?
51% chance
Will the men's 100m world record be broken before 2050?
89% chance
Cooper Lutkenhaus's step count in World Record 800m race if he breaks WR by 2030?
🏃🏿 Will someone beat Usain Bolt's 100 m record [9.58 seconds] by 2030?
12% chance
Will someone break the Usain Bolt World Record in the 100 Meter Dash at Enhanced Games before 2032?
28% chance
Will the men's Hammer Throw world record be broken by the end of 2028?
24% chance