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MANIFOLD
Will someone break the Usain Bolt World Record in the 100 Meter Dash at Enhanced Games before 2032?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ22
2031
41%
chance

Resolution criteria

  • This market resolves to YES if, during any officially sanctioned Enhanced Games event taking place before January 1, 2032, a competitor runs the Men's 100-meter sprint in an official time of 9.57 seconds or faster (breaking Usain Bolt's world record of 9.58 seconds).

  • The result must be officially recorded and validated by the Enhanced Games organization, regardless of whether standard athletics governing bodies (such as World Athletics) recognize the record.

  • Because the Enhanced Games do not adhere to traditional athletic federation rules, any official time that the organization formally accepts as a record-breaking performance—including times with wind assistance or on indoor/non-standard tracks—will qualify for a YES resolution.

  • This market resolves to NO if no competitor officially runs a time of 9.57 seconds or faster in a Men's 100m sprint at an Enhanced Games event prior to January 1, 2032.

  • If the Enhanced Games is dissolved, permanently cancelled, or ceases to host a Men's 100m sprint event before January 1, 2032, this market will resolve to NO (it will not resolve as N/A).

Background

  • The inaugural Enhanced Games took place in Las Vegas on May 24, 2026. The event allows athletes to compete with medically supervised performance-enhancing drugs (PEDs) and without standard WADA testing.

  • At the 2026 Games, American sprinter Fred Kerley won the Men's 100m sprint in a time of 9.97 seconds while competing drug-free, falling short of Bolt's mark.

  • Following the inaugural event, Enhanced Games CEO Maximilian Martin announced a tenfold increase in the world-record bounty to a $10 million prize for any sprinter who can break the 9.58-second barrier at the 2027 Enhanced Games.

Market context
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