Will the men's 100m world record be broken before 2050?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ4022049
89%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if the record is affirmed by World Athletics. If World Athletics goes defunct I will consider whatever the closest equivalent is.
Update 2025-09-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The time must be faster than the current world record (as of now).
If the current WR is later vacated and a slower time becomes the WR, breaking that later WR without beating the current record does not count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@JaundicedBaboon
Does it have to be a time faster than the current WR? What if the current WR is retroactively removed and then someone breaks the 'new' WR but not the current one?
People are also trading
Related questions
🏃🏿 Will someone beat Usain Bolt's 100 m record [9.58 seconds] by 2030?
12% chance
Will either of the men’s 1500m or Mile world records be broken by the end of the 2028 Summer Olympics?
45% chance
Will someone break the Usain Bolt World Record in the 100 Meter Dash at Enhanced Games before 2032?
41% chance
Will the men's Hammer Throw world record be broken by the end of 2028?
24% chance
Will Usain Bolts 100m record (9,58s) ever be beaten
91% chance
Cooper Lutkenhaus hold 800m world record before 2030?
51% chance
How low will the Marathon World Record go before the end of 2026?
Will a new flight airspeed record be set before 2050?
25% chance
Will at least one World Marathon Major be won under 2 hours every year until end of 2029?
77% chance
$10m prize for 100m record claimed in 2027
19% chance