Before when will SLS be cancelled?
Before when will SLS be cancelled?
13
1kṀ19072029
1D
1W
1M
ALL
90%
2029
86%
2028
75%
2027
66%
2026
If the announcement is made that no further flights will happen, then the date of the announcement counts.
If an announcement is made that it will be cancelled after the next flight, then the date of the next flight counts. If they then change their mind and don't fly it after all then it's the date of when they changed their mind, since that's a new announcement.
Multiple answer market, anything before the date resolved No, anything after resolves Yes.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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