Options resolve YES when Starship has launched that many times and still hasn't launched with at least one human on board. (e.g. when Starship launches for the fifth time, "5" resolves YES and the other options remain open)

When Starship launches with at least one human on board, all remaining options resolve NO. If Starship is permanently retired such that no more launches are expected, and it still hasn't flown any humans, all remaining options resolve NO.

Only full-stack (booster and ship) launches count, but they don't have to be orbital launches. Launches before market creation count, starting with the April 20, 2023 launch. For this market, a "launch" is defined as the rocket rising fully above the launch tower under its own power.

There have currently been 5 launches so far. (updated October 13 2024)

I've started with options up to 30, but I may add more in the future if it makes sense.