Will Law and Justice party (PiS) win the majority in Polish parliamentary elections to Sejm in 2023?
Basic
25
Ṁ3190
resolved Oct 17
Resolved
NO

Results to YES if majority of seats in Sejm will be taken by candidates from PiS electoral comitee lists.

Election is planned for October 15th.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ217
2Ṁ72
3Ṁ28
4Ṁ28
5Ṁ27
Sort by:
predictedYES
predictedYES

@MrLuke255 I've never been so happy to lose Mana lol

predictedYES

@CodeandSolder XD

We'll see what happens now

Looking at polls as an outsider currently I'm predicting largest party but not an outright majority

predictedYES

@calcium1445 It depends on couple of factors, including if some opposition parties will pass the threshold or not

betting yes to hedge lol

predictedYES

@CodeandSolder To hedge what?

predictedYES

@MrLuke255 the burden of living under PiS government

predictedYES

@CodeandSolder Ah, I forgot you are Polish too

Here's how it went in 2019: https://sejmsenat2019.pkw.gov.pl/sejmsenat2019/pl/wyniki/sejm/pl

PiS had 43,53% votes which resulted in 235 seats.

So they have to win + have majority of seats?

predictedYES

@StanisawKokocinski I think it's how the proportional system work, but what I'm asking for is whether people selected from PiS election lists will have the majority of seats in Sejm, that is 231 or more.

predictedYES

I've updated the title to reflect what exactly I am asking about

@MrLuke255 in Poland usually winning is related to having majority of votes/seats. Not necessary having 50%+ seats as it is not a common result. But the explanation is clear.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules