Will Poland implement a new electoral system for the Sejm before 2030?
8
150Ṁ1742029
25%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This prediction market resolves positively if the Polish government passes a new electoral law for the Sejm that changes the current system in a significant and meaningful way, as determined by experts and political analysts, and the law is signed and implemented before January 1st, 2030. This includes, but is not limited to, introducing a new voting method or changing the way seats are allocated. Changes that do not alter the fundamental nature of the current system, such as increasing the number of polling stations in rural areas, do not count towards resolution. If no such law is passed and implemented, the prediction market will resolve negatively.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be parliamentary elections in Poland in 2025?
24% chance
Will Poland still be part of the EU in 2030?
90% chance
Will Poland stay a member of the European Union in 2030?
96% chance
Will Polish parliament equalize the retirement age for men and women before 2030?
34% chance
Will Polish parliament raise the retirement age before 2030?
73% chance
Will Poland adopt the euro before 2030?
28% chance
Will a party other than PiS and PO win any national election in Poland by 2040?
66% chance
Will Poland become more authoritarian in 2025?
43% chance
Who will be the Prime Minister of Poland on June 1, 2030?
Will Poland stay a member of the European Union in 2050?
75% chance