Who will win the next parliamentary election in Poland?
38
1kṀ1407
2027
43%
KO
53%
PiS
0.8%
3D / P2050
1.7%
Konfederacja
0.2%
Lewica
1%
Other

This will result to the party with majority of votes in the next parliamentary election in Poland.

The next planned ones are supposed to happen in late 2027.


Current polls here

Party configurations/coalitions may change. I reserve the right to add more options or decide on splits, if necessary.

  • Update 2025-06-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve to the party with the most votes (a plurality). The winning party does not need to have a majority (>50%) of the total votes.

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Majority? Or just plurality? In the first case I would expect no singl party will have it.

@FranekZak Oh. My bad, I meant the most votes, doesn't have to be majority of total votes. I hope it was clear for past traders, since there was no 'None' option.

Why are two of the options parties, and the other three are party alliances? Shouldn’t they all be parties only since that is how votes are counted?

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