Will a party other than PiS and PO win any national election in Poland by 2040?
6
180Ṁ872040
66%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
By winning, I mean getting the largest total number of votes. This question considers all elections on a national scale (presidential elections, parliamentary, European Parliament, even the local ones). If a presidential candidate leaves PiS/PO just before the elections, we still consider them a member of these parties.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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