Will Law and Justice party (PiS) win the majority in Polish parliamentary elections to Sejm in 2023?
16
closes Oct 13
13%
chance

Results to YES if majority of seats in Sejm will be taken by candidates from PiS electoral comitee lists.

Election is planned for October 15th.

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itsTomekK avatar
Tomek K 🟡bought Ṁ10 of YES
CodeandSolder avatar
CodeandSolderbought Ṁ10 of YES

betting yes to hedge lol

3 replies
MrLuke255 avatar
MrLuke255predicts YES

@CodeandSolder To hedge what?

CodeandSolder avatar
CodeandSolderpredicts YES

@MrLuke255 the burden of living under PiS government

MrLuke255 avatar
MrLuke255predicts YES

@CodeandSolder Ah, I forgot you are Polish too

MrLuke255 avatar
MrLuke255bought Ṁ15 of YES

Here's how it went in 2019: https://sejmsenat2019.pkw.gov.pl/sejmsenat2019/pl/wyniki/sejm/pl

PiS had 43,53% votes which resulted in 235 seats.

1 reply
Stan avatar
Stan

So they have to win + have majority of seats?

4 replies
MrLuke255 avatar
MrLuke255predicts YES

@StanisawKokocinski I think it's how the proportional system work, but what I'm asking for is whether people selected from PiS election lists will have the majority of seats in Sejm, that is 231 or more.

MrLuke255 avatar
MrLuke255predicts YES

I've updated the title to reflect what exactly I am asking about

Stan avatar
Stanbought Ṁ20 of NO

@MrLuke255 in Poland usually winning is related to having majority of votes/seats. Not necessary having 50%+ seats as it is not a common result. But the explanation is clear.