Will Law and Justice party (PiS) win the majority in Polish parliamentary elections to Sejm in 2023?

MrLuke255

closes Oct 13

13%

chance

ALL

Results to YES if majority of seats in Sejm will be taken by candidates from PiS electoral comitee lists.

Election is planned for October 15th.

Get Ṁ500 play money

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Tomek K 🟡bought Ṁ10 of YES

CodeandSolderbought Ṁ10 of YES

betting yes to hedge lol

3 replies

MrLuke255predicts YES

@CodeandSolder To hedge what?

CodeandSolderpredicts YES

@MrLuke255 the burden of living under PiS government

MrLuke255predicts YES

@CodeandSolder Ah, I forgot you are Polish too

MrLuke255bought Ṁ15 of YES

Here's how it went in 2019: https://sejmsenat2019.pkw.gov.pl/sejmsenat2019/pl/wyniki/sejm/pl

PiS had 43,53% votes which resulted in 235 seats.

1 reply

MrLuke255predicts YES

Stan

So they have to win + have majority of seats?

4 replies

MrLuke255predicts YES

@StanisawKokocinski I think it's how the proportional system work, but what I'm asking for is whether people selected from PiS election lists will have the majority of seats in Sejm, that is 231 or more.

MrLuke255predicts YES

@StanisawKokocinski Last time they had 235 seats: https://www.sejm.gov.pl/sejm9.nsf/page.xsp/poslowie_wybory

MrLuke255predicts YES

I've updated the title to reflect what exactly I am asking about

Stanbought Ṁ20 of NO

@MrLuke255 in Poland usually winning is related to having majority of votes/seats. Not necessary having 50%+ seats as it is not a common result. But the explanation is clear.