Poland 2023 elections: will PiS + Konfederacja win the majority of seats in Sejm?

Poland '23•Poland 🇵🇱 Polska•Elections: World•Poland•Politics in Poland

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resolved Oct 17

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Resolves to YES if the total number of seats in Sejm (the lower chamber) won by PiS and Konfederacja in the 2023 Polish parliamentary elections is at least 231 (corresponding to an absolute majority). This is regardless of whether these two parties enter a coalition and will resolve once the final official results are published

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8 Comments

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215 Trades

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predicted YES

Well, the full results are in, and it wasn't even close. Congratulations to the NO bettors

predicted YES

@PatsoRedneb We don't have the number of seats yet, do we?

predicted YES

@MrLuke255 I don't know if or where PKW will announce the individual seat winners but all the votes in each constituency are in and public. The algorithm (D'Hondt method) is known, though a bit complicated, but I trust the various news sources to be able to calculate the correct number of seats (and they all agree with each other)

predicted YES

@PatsoRedneb They probably copied it from each other 😆

predicted YES

Btw, this question will keep trading throughout the whole election, exit polls, early counts, etc. I'm planning to resolve it as soon as the national electoral commission (PKW) publishes the final results (or as soon as I find out it has)