Polish election 2023: "democratic opposition" to get a majority of seats in Sejm?
Poland '23•Elections: World•Poland•Politics in Poland
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resolved Oct 17
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if Civic Coalition (Koalicja Obywatelska) + The New Left (Nowa Lewica) + Thrid Way (Trzecia Droga) get the majority of seats in Polish Sejm (>230).

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157+65+26>230, resolves YES

https://wybory.gov.pl/sejmsenat2023/en/sejm/wynik/pl

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Would you like to play? /MrLuke255/manifold-plays-20-questions-spinoff

predicted YES

@MrLuke255 you can resolve to YES now, the full results are out and they got 248 seats total

@PatsoRedneb I will resolve based on official results from PKW

predicted YES

@MrLuke255 See my comment elsewhere, the results in the link are calculated from the public final results, so I think they're trustworthy. But if you want to wait for a more official announcement, that's fine

predicted YES

@MrLuke255 The official results include now mandate counts as well

Related, because Civic Coalition and The New left want to change the law and Third Way is a centrist option:

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