When the launch clamps release after ignition, that counts as a launch for this market.
/Mqrius/will-ulas-vulcan-launch-before-the 023?
/Mqrius/will-ulas-vulcan-launch-before-octo
/Mqrius/will-ulas-vulcan-launch-before-2024
See also:
/Mqrius/will-blue-origins-new-glenn-launch-32ffc3496c5c
/Mqrius/will-spacexs-hls-uncrewed-demo-laun
Artemis 2 timeline: /Mqrius/will-artemis-ii-launch-before-2026
Artemis 3 timeline: /Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again
@Mqrius Seems a little weird to do so? Why not let it play out?
Yeah, it won't happen, but why resolve a market that's still open? If you wanted a market about announced launch slips, it should say so.
Manifold provides loans for people who want their money back to reinvest and are patient. And people who aren't can sell at a very slight discount. Interest rate effects are always part of the betting calculation. Reward the people who get the right.