🏅 Top traders

Every launch market needs a kablowee option

Good point. Not sure I'd call it a milestone though 🤔

Guys should I count this as payload deploy?

@Mqrius payload is outside of the launch vehicle

launch vehicle is also outside of the launch vehicle

SpaceX is assuming they've lost the ship, I'll wait for a bit more confirmation

@Mqrius I bought No on all the options under New Glenn but no one told me to buy No over here.

I want to add something like "non-structural catch pins survive reentry" but I don't know how to make that unambiguous. Any suggestions? I don't want to rely on reports, I'd like it to be decidable from the livestream.

@Mqrius IMO, this one is too hard. Failure here won't be "the pins catch on fire." Instead, it's that "too much heat is accumulated in this area, which would soften the supporting structure too much (if it were present, which it's not)".

Even if we see the pins glowing red hot on the livestream, is that too much?

@DanHomerick Anything you think of that we could decide on? Even "Pins are still present" can be ambiguous.

@Mqrius if you really want a pins one, maybe "pins visibly glow"? That is, decouple it from whether that's actually a problem or not.

Your "are still present" sounds perfectly decideable, but seems super unlikely to resolve NO, and thus isn't too interesting as a market.

@DanHomerick Eh, guess I'll leave it for flight 8 then

Non-structural catch pins did not survive reentry.