Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned?

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Ṁ782

2029

82%

2029

69%

2028

66%

2027

63%

2026

Not sure how to define the criteria on this since it consists of many different components. Someone have any good suggestions? For now I've got this:

If PPE or HALO is never launched, the date of that decision counts. If PPE and HALO are both launched, the date of the decision to never send humans there anymore counts.

Possible clarification from creator (AI generated):

If Gateway is launched into any orbit around the moon (not just NRHO), it still counts as Gateway
If Gateway is launched but not in orbit around the moon, it counts as cancelled/abandoned

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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If Gateway is moved somewhere else, not NRHO, how should this resolve?

I'm deciding that if it's still launched into some orbit around the moon, then it still counts. If it's not in orbit around the moon then it doesn't count.

Feel free to argue against it in the next 2 days, then it's settled

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