Before when will SLS be cancelled?

Question

[tweet]If the announcement is made that no further flights will happen, then the date of the announcement counts.

If an announcement is made that it will be cancelled after the next flight, then the date of the next flight counts. If they then change their mind and don't fly it after all then it's the date of when they changed their mind, since that's a new announcement.

Multiple answer market, anything before the date resolved No, anything after resolves Yes.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, 2029, followed by 2028 and 2027 are most likely. See the market for live updates (22 traders, as of Jul 25, 2026).