Will Yoon Suk Yeol still be Korean president on Jan 6th 2025? 🇰🇷
Will Yoon Suk Yeol still be Korean president on Jan 6th 2025? 🇰🇷
70
22kṀ690kresolved Jan 6
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
He ran what appears to be an unsuccessful coup. Or a moment of madness?
Will he still be president on Jan 6th 2025 Korean Time -- resolves midnight Korean time.
YES if he is still in office. NO if he is impeached, removed or resigns.
Update 2024-12-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Market resolves YES if Yoon Suk Yeol holds official power, even if impeached
Resolution is based on whether he maintains actual power/office, not impeachment status
Update 2024-14-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For Yoon to be considered out of office, his removal must be confirmed by Constitutional Court, unless he resigns or his party forces him out
Resolution will not occur before Monday unless there is a clear event like resignation
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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