MANIFOLD
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 1, 2026?
102
Ṁ10kṀ190k
resolved Jan 3
Resolved
YES

This market will resolve YES if on January 1 2026 Donald Trump is the President of the USA.


Market context
US Politics
Politics
Trump
Republican Party
2024 US Presidential Election
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ2,736
2Ṁ2,094
3Ṁ1,565
4Ṁ1,159
5Ṁ437

People are also trading

Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?
78% chance
On which days in 2026 will Donald Trump be alive?
Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026?
90% chance
Will Donald Trump be alive by 31 December 2026?
90% chance
Will Donald Trump keep the position of the President of the USA for all of 2026?
88% chance
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 1, 2028?
89% chance
Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2027?
88% chance
Will Donald Trump be president on January 19, 2029?
77% chance
If Donald Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, will he still be the president on January 21st, 2029?
4% chance
Will Trump still be president on January 1, 2029?
76% chance
Sort by:
opened a Ṁ50,000 YES at 99.0% order

@HillaryClinton i’ll buy you out at 99% if you want liquidity to trade more tesla $500 against me?

bought Ṁ100 NO

@itsTomekK is there any difference in the resolution criteria (other than the date) between this market and your market about 12/31/25? I'm completely baffled by the spread between the two markets, especially given the logical implausibility of Trump being President on 1/1/26 but not on 12/31/25.

oh, i forgot about that market :D

Sweet, time for me to buy some more dollar bills for 95 cents!

People are also trading

Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?
78% chance
On which days in 2026 will Donald Trump be alive?
Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026?
90% chance
Will Donald Trump be alive by 31 December 2026?
90% chance
Will Donald Trump keep the position of the President of the USA for all of 2026?
88% chance
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 1, 2028?
89% chance
Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2027?
88% chance
Will Donald Trump be president on January 19, 2029?
77% chance
If Donald Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, will he still be the president on January 21st, 2029?
4% chance
Will Trump still be president on January 1, 2029?
76% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy