Will an LLM break 1400 ELO on LMSys before February? | Manifold

Will an LLM break 1400 ELO on LMSys before February?

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Feb 2

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Google currently leads with Gemini -- which has two models at around 1370

But OpenAI just announced O3 -- which is getting great marks on things like hard science questions.
https://deepnewz.com/ai-modeling/openai-unveils-o3-o3-mini-models-exceeding-human-performance-on-arc-agi-4f05e4f7

The resolution is simple. Will and LMSys update contain a model with 1400 ELO? Cutoff is last day in January (East Coast time).

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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I would recommend rewording the title to before february

bought Ṁ1,000 NO

also @Moscow25 wanna bet more at 55%? Got a limit up for an hour or so

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Related questions

Will an LLM be able to solve a Rubik's Cube by 2025?

Which organization will have the top LLM on LMSys on March 1st?

Will any LLM outrank GPT-4 by 150 Elo in LMSYS chatbot arena before 2025?

What organization will have the highest ELO score in the LMSYS Org Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of Dec, 2024?

EOY 2025: Will open LLMs match closed-source LLMs on coding to within 50 ELO points?

Llama 3 405B ELO on Lmsys Arena Leaderboard 2 weeks after first appearance?

Will AIs stay below 1453 elo in 2024 on chat.lmsys.org/?leaderboard as predicted by Gary Marcus?

Will LLMs mostly overcome the Reversal Curse by the end of 2025?

Will another LLM prompting challenge with prizes worth $10k+ be completed by the end of 2024?

Can an LLM beat me in chess?

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