Which organization will have the top LLM on LMSys on March 1st?
60
21kṀ350kresolved Mar 10
100%99.0%
xAI
0.3%
Google / DeepMind
0.4%
OpenAI
0.1%
Anthropic
0.0%
Meta / Facebook
0.1%
DeepSeek
0.1%Other
Google is currently in the lead with two models at around 1370 ELO.
https://lmarena.ai/?leaderboard
But OpenAI just announced "o3" model that some are calling AGI.
xAI is also making moves, releasing Grok 2.5 and promising Grok 3
Grok 3 probably won't ship by March but xAI is known to release things when ready
Probably still a battle between Google and OpenAI tho.
Resolution will be midnight US Eastern Time. Once we hit March 1st in New York... the market will be resolved.
NOTE -- we will respect the confidence intervals hence if two orgs tie for first... we will do partial resolution as in previous markets -- in the screenshot above Google and OpenAI are tied for first
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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