Can an LLM beat me in chess?
Basic
4
Ṁ140Dec 31
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I’m rated around 2000 ECF. At the end of the 2024 I’ll play a game against an LLM at a rapid time control, selected from the top 3 of the leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard). Resolves YES if I lose, NO if I win, and 50% for a draw.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@SaviorofPlant Nope, it will be rerun until it provides a correct move (within reason of not exceeding some threshold of api cost for sending in 10000 retries) and providing board state per square as input
Related questions
Related questions
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?
60% chance
When will an LLM enter and maintain 1360 ELO on LMSys for 10,000 votes? OpenAI? Gemini? Anthropic?
Will an LLM (a GPT-like text AI) defeat the World Champion at Chess before 2035?
51% chance
Will any LLM outrank GPT-4 by 150 Elo in LMSYS chatbot arena before 2025?
11% chance
Will an LLM be able to solve a Rubik's Cube by 2025?
65% chance
When will a Large Language Model beat me at chess?
In 2025, will I be able to play Civ against an LLM?
33% chance
Will end-to-end neural networks such as LLMs can beat the best human player in chess by 2028?
65% chance
Will an LLM be able to solve confusing but elementary geometric reasoning problems in 2024? (strict LLM version)
14% chance
Will a LLM beat human experts on GPQA by Jan 1, 2025?
90% chance