Will AIs stay below 1453 elo in 2024 on chat.lmsys.org/?leaderboard as predicted by Gary Marcus?
57
1kṀ62kresolved Jan 6
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ4,304 | |
2 | Ṁ1,131 | |
3 | Ṁ1,073 | |
4 | Ṁ518 | |
5 | Ṁ316 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Will a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2025?
29% chance
Will a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2026?
69% chance
Will the LMSYS Chatbot Arena still be 'a thing' in 2027, under the same evaluation method?
36% chance