Will another LLM prompting challenge with prizes worth $10k+ be completed by the end of 2024?
10
140Ṁ682
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

See Taelin's $10k LLM prompting challenge

Any non-private LLM prompting challenge that ends up distributing $10k+ in prizes makes this market resolve YES.

"non-private" to exclude challenges posed within companies, or where only a small number of people are allowed to submit their solutions

  • Update 2024-13-12 (PST): - Challenges that are explicitly not prompting challenges do not qualify, even if they involve LLMs and have $10k+ in prizes (AI summary of creator comment)

LLMs
2024
Challenge
Prize
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ196
2Ṁ47
3Ṁ15
4Ṁ4
5Ṁ1

People are also trading

What organization will top the LLM leaderboards on LMArena at end of 2025? 🤖📊
Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2025 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?
Will the best public LLM at the end of 2025 solve more than 5 of the first 10 Project Euler problems published in 2026?
74% chance
Will there be major breakthrough in LLM Continual Learning before 2026?
14% chance
Will LLMs mostly overcome the Reversal Curse by the end of 2025?
54% chance
Can LLM generate a Lonpos puzzle solution before the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will an LLM that someone is trying to shut down stop or avoid that in some way before 2026?
12% chance
Will an LLM consistently create 5x5 word squares by 2026?
94% chance
Will China have the best LLM by the end of 2025?
3% chance
Will the leading LLM at the beginning of 2026 still be subject to the reversal curse?
46% chance
Sort by:

ping me if you know of one that was completed. pretty sure there wasn't

sold Ṁ40 YES

There is another challenge for $10k

@Metastable He said it's not a prompt engineering challenge. @Bayesian does it nonetheless qualify for this market?

@Metastable Oh that's a bit tricky. hmmm, I'd lean toward it not qualifying since it's explicitly not a prompting challenge. If you disagree lmk.

@Bayesian Thanks for clarifying. No disagreement from me.

People are also trading

What organization will top the LLM leaderboards on LMArena at end of 2025? 🤖📊
Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2025 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?
Will the best public LLM at the end of 2025 solve more than 5 of the first 10 Project Euler problems published in 2026?
+8% 1d74% chance
Will there be major breakthrough in LLM Continual Learning before 2026?
14% chance
Will LLMs mostly overcome the Reversal Curse by the end of 2025?
54% chance
Can LLM generate a Lonpos puzzle solution before the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will an LLM that someone is trying to shut down stop or avoid that in some way before 2026?
12% chance
Will an LLM consistently create 5x5 word squares by 2026?
94% chance
Will China have the best LLM by the end of 2025?
3% chance
Will the leading LLM at the beginning of 2026 still be subject to the reversal curse?
46% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy