Tariffs on China by EOY?
15
Ṁ250Ṁ981resolved Jan 1
Resolved
~25.0 Percent1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolved
YESAbove 0%
Resolved
YESAbove 10%
Resolved
YESAbove 20%
Resolved
NOAbove 30%
Resolved
NOAbove 40%
Resolved
NOAbove 50%
Resolved
NOAbove 60%
Resolved
NOAbove 70%
Resolved
NOAbove 80%
Resolved
NOAbove 90%
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve based on the United States' tariff rates on Chinese imports as of December 31, 2025. The specific tariff rates will be determined by official announcements from the U.S. government, such as those from the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) or the White House. If multiple tariff rates apply to different categories of goods, the market will consider the average tariff rate across all categories. Reliable sources for verification include:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ63 | |
| 2 | Ṁ38 | |
| 3 | Ṁ25 | |
| 4 | Ṁ13 | |
| 5 | Ṁ11 |
People are also trading
Related questions
US tariffs on Chinese imports on January 1, 2027?
Will tariffs in Q4 2025 be below what they were in Q4 2024?
2% chance
US tariffs on Chinese imports on January 1, 2028?
Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" found unlawful by courts and effectively ceased by EOY 2026?
55% chance
China to announce cap on zinc by EOY 2026?
38% chance
China cap on copper smelting by EOY 2026?
30% chance
China to announce cap on lead output by EOY 2026?
45% chance
US effective tariff rate in Q4 2026?
-1.1
Will the tariffs be successful in bringing back manufacturing to the US ? (2026)
2.5
