Tariffs on China by EOY?
11
250Ṁ642Dec 31
43 Percent
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
95%
Above 0%
84%
Above 10%
79%
Above 20%
76%
Above 30%
45%
Above 40%
34%
Above 50%
28%
Above 60%
20%
Above 70%
12%
Above 80%
5%
Above 90%
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve based on the United States' tariff rates on Chinese imports as of December 31, 2025. The specific tariff rates will be determined by official announcements from the U.S. government, such as those from the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) or the White House. If multiple tariff rates apply to different categories of goods, the market will consider the average tariff rate across all categories. Reliable sources for verification include:
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