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MANIFOLD
Which Markets will appear in Above the Fold in June?
13
Ṁ1.3kṀ1.3k
resolved Jul 1
13%10%
I will select all options with greater than 30% as correct. https://manifold.markets/Duncan/i-will-select-all-options-with-grea
12%14%
What life improvement intervention suggested would I found most useful? https://manifold.markets/vlad/what-life-improvement-intervention
12%12%
How many people will stay at Mexifold, our Mexico City offsite? https://manifold.markets/Austin/how-many-people-will-stay-at-mexifo
12%11%
If I buy a Pacaso home, will I eventually come to regret it within 2 years of purchase? https://manifold.markets/DavidPennock/will-i-buy-a-pacaso-home-and-eventu
12%8%
How much USD will be donated through Manifold for Good before June? https://manifold.markets/ManifoldMarkets/total-donations-for-manifold-for-go
12%7%
How many tips will *the comment* on this post receive? https://manifold.markets/ManifoldMarkets/how-many-tips-will-the-comment-on-t
4%Other
0.0%
The replacement administrator for Astral Codex Ten identifies as female. https://manifold.markets/Honourary/the-replacement-administrator-for-a
0.0%
Will Ethereum merge to Proof-of-Stake by July? https://manifold.markets/Pepe/will-ethereum-merge-to-proofofstake
0.4%
Who will be the administrator of the AstralCodexTen Discord server on January 1, 2023? https://manifold.markets/TheSkeward/who-will-be-the-administrator-of-th
0.0%
Who will win the NBA Finals championship in 2022? https://manifold.markets/dglid/who-will-win-the-nba-finals-champio
0.0%
Will a screenshot of this market appear in Above the Fold in June? https://manifold.markets/bcongdon/will-a-screenshot-of-this-market-ap
0.6%
Will a link to this market appear in Above The Fold in June? https://manifold.markets/Conflux/will-a-link-to-this-market-appear-i
8%
Which Markets will appear in Above the Fold in June? https://manifold.markets/Milli/which-markets-will-appear-in-above
The Manifold Markets newsletter features several markets every time by link or screenshot. Every mention is equally valuable to this market. I will resolve MULTI equally for each market mentioned in June newsletters. In case of multiple mentions I will resolve in favor of the oldest one. Newsletter: https://news.manifold.markets/ Note: You can add markets here that are mentioned in the newsletter after the fact if they have not been mentioned before.
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@MichaelWheatley Counts. That's why markets are better than scripts, a script would have missed this. :)
@bcongdon My concern is how it never actually shows the market title, you just have to recognize where those comments are clipped from.
@MichaelWheatley I would bet so, given the market description of "by link or screenshot"
Does this count? There was a screenshot.
@Milli I will resolve MULTI equally for each market mentioned in June newsletters. In case of multiple mentions I will resolve in favor of the oldest one. Which is it?
@Pepe This will be resolved in 2 weeks in case there is another newsletter in June. The first June-newsletter is here: https://news.manifold.markets/p/above-the-fold-10000-for-charity
@Milli "I will resolve in favor of the oldest" implies you will not include all markets/may only include 1 market. But "I will resolve MULTI" implies several markets/equal weight. Can you explain in more detail?
Ahh, you must mean "it multiple people list the same market as an answer here, I will pick the oldest"
@Milli I hope this one gets included, for the meta