How much USD will be donated through Manifold for Good before June?
Jun 1
M$97,769 bet
Manifold Markets has just introduced a new program which lets users donate their Manifold dollars directly to a charity of their choice ( https://manifold.markets/charity ). Through the month of May, every M$ 100 users contribute turns into $1 USD sent to charity. This market will resolve to the total number of US dollars that users end up donating through this program.
ManifoldMarkets
$1,000 - $5,000
85%
ManifoldMarkets
$5,000 - $10,000
8%
ManifoldMarkets
$10,000 - $25,000
4%
ManifoldMarkets
$500 - $1,000
2%
ManifoldMarkets
$25,000 - $50,000
0.2%
Add your answer
ManifoldMarkets
$1,000 - $5,000
85%
GeorgeVii

George Vii is betting $500 - $1,000 7 days ago

Parimutuels that end trading so close to resolution suck. Come trade the binary market yall! https://manifold.markets/GeorgeVii/will-2000-usd-be-donated-through-ma
ManifoldMarkets
$5,000 - $10,000
8%
ManifoldMarkets
$10,000 - $25,000
4%
ManifoldMarkets
$500 - $1,000
2%
Tetraspace

Tetraspace is betting $500 - $1,000 21 days ago

$100 in 5 days, so if we extrapolate linearly...
Yev

Yev is betting $10,000 - $25,000 17 days ago

$468 in 8 days, it's clearly not growing linearly.
BoltonBailey

Bolton Bailey bought M$42 days ago

$548 on the 24th.
BoltonBailey

Bolton Bailey bought M$152 days ago

With less than 100 added in the last 16 days, this seems like the obvious outcome. Perhaps people are expecting manipulation at the end?
ManifoldMarkets
$25,000 - $50,000
0.2%
General Comments
Kronopath

Kronopath 6 hours ago

If you want to troll the Manifold team, bet “More than $0”, and force them to come to terms with what happens when you allow overlapping free answers from the general public.