Will Trump be charged by the DA in Fulton County Georgia for his attempts to overturn election in Georgia?

US Politics•Republican Party•Trial of the Century•Law & Order•Georgia

234

Ṁ560K

Ṁ2.6K

resolved Aug 15

Resolved

YES

ALL

Resolves YES if Trump is charged with a felony by the grand jury.

Aug 3, 5:41pm: ~~Will Trump be charged by the grand jury in Georgia for his attempts to overturn election in Georgia?~~ → Will Trump be charged by the DA in Fulton County Georgia for his attempts to overturn election in Georgia?

Close date updated to 2025-12-31 11:59 pm

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25 Comments

179 Holders

4.3K Trades

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predicted YES

I miss you @Gigacasting

predicted YES

@BTE was Isaac giga? they disappeared around the same time

predicted YES

@Stralor No. I never figured it out. I heard it might be Gwern, whoever that is.

predicted YES

Just contrats to Briant T. Edwards for the prediction! He called this super far out.

predicted YES

@Fedor Thank you!!! This market is one of my first and I truly enjoyed the banter and volatility!! I appreciate you all!!

bought Ṁ5,000 of YES

https://www.ajc.com/politics/trump-18-others-indicted-for-trying-to-overthrow-2020-georgia-election/PQ3N2YBIDRDJFLJGFLEBZUWM6I/

Trump, 18 others indicted for trying to overthrow 2020 Georgia election

A Fulton County grand jury on Tuesday charged former President Donald Trump and 17 others with racketeering and other charges related to the Republica

predicted YES

https://www.reuters.com/legal/us-state-georgia-appears-set-file-charges-against-donald-trump-court-document-2023-08-14/

Georgia court website briefly publishes, removes document about potential Trump charges

The court's website briefly posted a document listing criminal charges against Donald Trump that appeared related to his attempts to overturn his 2020 election defeat in the state, before taking the document down without explanation.

predicted YES

Looks like 39 indictments temporarily listed on Fulton County website.

Will there be riots in Miami June 13, 2023 due to Trump’s court appearance?

50% chance. This market resolves YES if during June 13, 2023 (until 23:59:59 local time) protests, riots, social unrest occur in Miami, FL that carry the (political) message of favoring the indicted, attacking the judicial system or similar and that meet one or more of the following criteria, report…

https://manifold.markets/LeonardoKroger/will-there-be-riots-in-miami-june-1?r=TGVvbmFyZG9Lcm9nZXI

bought Ṁ10 of YES

i haven’t heard anything one way or the other because i live under a rock but i bet 10 mana on God I Fucking Hope So

predicted YES

@angeluspolitian It’s happening first week in August. They have cleared the docket for those two weeks at the DAs request due to “high profile case”.

bought Ṁ20 of NO

@BTE It’s pretty wild that if something happens to Trump before he is charged you will lose 100k mana. It’s a pretty big wager.

predicted YES

@Dustin Like Trump dies? I would happily wipe my account @IsaacKing style if you promise me Trump will be dead by the end of the month. I would give more than that actually.

@Dustin @BTE is super intelligent, clearly they have that priced in with those odds. Don't you worry!

predicted YES

@Dustin This is not the first time I have had $100k riding on this happening. This bet is gonna pay off two more times at least. Every day the evidence mounts. How much do you lose if I am right??

predicted NO

@BTE Currently 3997, and I will gladly spend it to see him charged

bought Ṁ0 of YES

@Dustin Your comment got to my head. I have started trimming my single market risk.

predicted NO

@BTE Risk management is definitely the name of the game. I may need to do some more of it myself. Good thing I trust the market creator 😉

predicted NO

Trump's fate in Georgia is unclear,
But justice must be severe.
His attempts to overturn the election,
May lead to his legal rejection.

bought Ṁ100 of YES

@Mason I don't understand why you are betting so aggressively? Willis has all but acknowledged this is happening in July.

predicted YES

@Mason sorry wrong person lol

predicted NO

It looks like a new method to replace the DA has just become available.

https://apnews.com/article/georgia-district-attorney-prosecutor-misconduct-removal-acb1b9f667c193d4bee6bb8fdb99c975

bought Ṁ1,000 of YES

@Dustin LMFAO. You think this pathetic threat is going to get the prosecutor, who doesn't actually make these choices a grand jury does, is going to be intimidated?!? Come on man. How many of the Senators voting on this are targets of the investigation?!? Half a dozen at least. You are funny. Please bet more on NO because of this news!!!! Thank you!!!