[Even more numbers/bins] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side
12
404
1k
2025
0.3%
<4,000
0.5%
4,001 - 8,000
1.1%
8,001 - 16,000
1.5%
16,000 - 24,000
2%
24,000 - 36,000
8%
36,000 - 54,000
81%
54,000 - 80,000
3%
80,000 - 120,000
1.2%
120,000 - 180,000
0.4%
> 180,000

Including both combatants and civilians, as reported by Israeli sources. This market will resolve after the war is over and official estimates are available. Close date may be extended.

Note: This market it only for Palestinian casualties, i.e. people from Gaza and potentially the West Bank (but only if the casualties are related to the war). This will not include any casualties from other parties that might join the war, nor of Israeli-Arabs, regardless of how they identify. This is done to clear up the market definitions and make it resolvable, not because of taking any stance as to people's identities.

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Some are saying that Gaza Health Ministry numbers are faked.
https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/news/articles/how-gaza-health-ministry-fakes-casualty-numbers

Looks like a small bump to the 36k to 54k bucket around the time this came out, but not a major effect. Generally it looks to me like the overall numbers given by both sides are roughly consistent and the difference is mostly political decisions about how and whether to report estimates.

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