By the end of 2023, what will be the size of my largest win on any single manifold market?
21
1.6kṀ10k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
2500

Defined as largest total reported profit by manifold over the lifetime of the market on Jan 1st, 2024.

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You're gonna make a few k on the manifold.love market, unless you sell or manifold.love actually ends up on track for success.

If it doesn't start looking more promising over the next two months, whales will eat up James' limit orders and the price will drop, leaving you with somewhere between 1.5k and 7.8k in paper profits.

You guys really believe in me huh

@DeanValentine In a way...

Are you counting markets created before this question existed? Because there's already way bigger profits

@jack ??? I don't see any such win.

@jack Is it possible you misread the title? Dean is asking about their own wins, not anyone's.

predictedHIGHER

@IsaacKing Thanks, I misread "my"

Subsidized 1000M$.

Defined as total profit over the lifetime of the market?

@StevenK Correct.

@DeanValentine And if your profit on a question is M$1000 in June but goes back down to M$500 at closing time, it counts as M$500, right?

@StevenK Correct! Will be determined by the largest profit at Jan 1st, 2024.

@DeanValentine Does this include unrealized profits on markets that haven't resolved yet?

predictedLOWER

@Yev Yes.

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