How big will the largest individual bet on manifold be in 2024? (Ignoring exploits, bugs, and wash trades)
Basic
1
Ṁ30Jan 1
18%
< 100k mana
18%
100k <= n < 1M mana
18%
1M <= n < 10M mana
18%
10M <= n < 100M mana
10%
100M <= n < 1B mana
18%
Individual bets means individual bets - if you make two 50k trades one after another, that's 50k, not 100k. A limit order counts, but only the amount filled on that specific order before the end of the year. Wash trading does not count, filling your own order does not count. Betting 10M mana at 99% that joe biden wins the nomination would count. Market will resolve based on the spirit of these criteria, as opposed to legalistically.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a Manifold bot that makes profitable bets on random 1-month markets by December 2024?
42% chance
Who will make at least one bet on Manifold during 2024?
Will there be an insider betting/ trading scandal on Manifold before the end of 2024?
30% chance
Will I be able to schedule bets on Manifold before 2025?
14% chance
What will be the largest volume on a manifold market at the end of 2024? (Excluding manipulation, wash trading)
Will it be possible to place an atomically-executed batch of bets through the Manifold API by end of 2024?
17% chance
Will Manifold support betting on groups of multiple choice options in one bet like on numeric markets before EOY 2024?
15% chance
Will Manifold significantly improve the reliability of extreme market probabilities before the end of 2024?
8% chance
Will manifold allow to bet on two or more markets at once before end of 2025?
21% chance
Will Manifold fix betting before the end of 2024?
8% chance