Resolves YES if at least 1000 ground troops are deployed in Iran in 2026.

Resolves to a consensus of popular reporting. If there's an estimate like "about a thousand", that will be adequate, I don't want to litigate which of two independent estimates of 950 or 1050 troops are more accurate; I'll resolve in the spirit of the question.

I will not bet in this market (after initial bet to a reasonable probability).