Will Ukraine suffer nuclear power plant meltdowns during the Russia war?
21
1.8k
2025
8%
chance

Cause can be direct (conventional weapon) attack by Russia or indirect result of war related activities (e.g. accidents at nearby infrastructure, terrorist attack, drone misfire, etc).

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meltdown is a specific kind of accident where the fuel rods actually melt. Z has been shut down long enough it should be fine

semi related market

Does it include plants de-facto controlled by Russia?

@Inosen_Infinity Good question. I didn’t even know those existed in UKR. Can you point me to something I can read? For the market, let’s say yes, including any that are de facto controlled by Russia.

predicts NO

@MikiyasTsegaye https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zaporizhzhia_Nuclear_Power_Plant_crisis

Zaporozhzhia power plant is under russian control at this moment

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