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MANIFOLD
Will China restrict exports of uranium on December 31, 2026?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ45
Dec 31
90%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has an operative commodity-specific export prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement covering natural, depleted, enriched, or uranium 233 material and covered compounds, alloys, dispersions, ceramics, concentrates, or mixtures in the nuclear licensing catalog. Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

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