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MANIFOLD
Will China restrict exports of ruthenium on December 31, 2026?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ82
Dec 31
51%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has an operative commodity-specific export prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement covering ordinary unwrought or powder ruthenium under the iridium, osmium, and ruthenium tariff family HS 711041 and 711049. Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

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